Polymarket puts Israel four-country strike scenario at 78.8 percent
The Polymarket contract asks whether Israel will strike 4 countries during 2026. It is priced at 78.8 percent, with 7.8 million dollars traded, according to World Monitor.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- World Monitor
- Publisher
- The publisher did not list a web address.
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to World Monitor”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Contract on Susie Wiles leaving the Trump administration before 2027 rises 58 points to 100 percent on Polymarket, with 182,000 dollars traded, PredictionBubbles reports
- Prediction markets trade 135.35 billion dollars over the last 30 days, with Kalshi handling 75.2 percent of volume, Volume Race reports
- Nebraska is priced at 65 cents on Kalshi against Illinois, with 289,000 dollars traded in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- CFTC tells prediction market exchanges they cannot cut off customers by state and gives firms 30 days to restore nationwide access, CoinDesk reports
- Kalshi and Polymarket traded 2.0 billion dollars in 2026 midterm contracts, with 794 million dollars in the election-day 24 hours, Prediction Frontier reports
- More than 35 million dollars has been wagered on the undecided Mississippi Senate race across Kalshi and Polymarket, Clarion Ledger reports