Cleveland win the Pro Football AFC North Division priced at 14.0% on Kalshi, up 5.0 points, on $1.1M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Cleveland divisional contract among its upward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. The contract…
Cleveland’s contract to win the Pro Football AFC North Division on Kalshi was priced at 14.0%, up 5.0 percentage points, with $1.1M traded, in the update published Oct 25, 2026 · 11:54 PM ET.
According to PredictionBubbles, the contract appeared among the upward moves in its sports category, separate from the board’s lead item. The increase reflects a higher market-implied probability of a Cleveland division win, although the outcome remained priced well below 50%.
How the move is measured
PredictionBubbles ranks changes over a 24-hour window using probability points rather than relative percentage gains. Its board draws prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates every 15 minutes; the supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 26 Oct 2026, 03:37 UTC.
According to PredictionBubbles, the ranking covers 1,999 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify, limiting the influence of newly opened markets or contracts already settled.
What the figures do—and do not—show
The $1.1M traded provides activity context alongside Cleveland’s price change. PredictionBubbles does not use volume or liquidity to determine movement rankings: those rankings depend on the size of the probability-point shift.
The supplied material identifies no Cleveland-specific news explaining the increase and provides no order-book depth or competing divisional prices. It therefore establishes a repricing, not its cause or whether the new level will persist.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction and level are distinct: Cleveland gained 5.0 percentage points, but its quoted probability was still 14.0%.
- Turnover is not liquidity: The reported $1.1M traded does not, by itself, establish how much trading could occur near the quoted price.
- The catalyst remains unverified: The material supports reporting the move, but not attributing it to a game result, team development or other event.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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