Dallas win the Pro Football NFC East Division priced at 40.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 points, on $1.8M traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Dallas divisional contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. The contract…
Dallas was priced at 40.0% to win the Pro Football NFC East Division on Kalshi, down 5.0 probability points, with $1.8M traded, in the supplied Oct 26, 2026 · 12:09 AM ET market update.
According to PredictionBubbles, the Dallas contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board. That placement identifies a downward repricing, rather than establishing Dallas as the board’s largest overall mover.
What the move measures
PredictionBubbles ranks changes over 24 hours using probability points, not relative percentage changes. The Dallas decline therefore describes a 5.0-point reduction in the market’s implied probability of a division win—not a 5.0% relative fall.
The outlet says it draws prices directly from Kalshi and Polymarket and updates the board every 15 minutes. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 26 Oct 2026, 03:37 UTC. Its ranking universe covers 1,999 markets lasting longer than 14 days, with same-week fixtures excluded.
Limits of the snapshot
The provided material does not identify a game result, team announcement or other specific catalyst for Dallas’s decline. It also does not establish the reporting period for the Dallas contract’s $1.8M traded figure, so that amount should not automatically be treated as turnover during the 24-hour price move.
According to PredictionBubbles, movement rankings depend on the size of the probability change; volume and liquidity do not affect placement. The Dallas figures consequently describe price direction and reported trading activity, but do not establish order-book depth or explain why traders lowered the price.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction is clear, cause is not: Dallas’s implied division-winning probability fell to 40.0%, but the supplied reporting offers no verified catalyst.
- Volume needs context: The $1.8M traded figure does not, by itself, show how much trading accompanied the decline or how liquid the contract was.
- The ranking is selective: The board compares eligible longer-running markets, not every sports contract or near-term fixture.
- Prices are time-specific: The figures capture a market snapshot, not a confirmed sporting outcome.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026 priced at 68.5% on Polymarket, up 5.0 points, on $1.0M traded
- LSU qualify for the College Football Playoffs priced at 58.0% on Kalshi, up 10.0 points, on $968K traded
- Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026 priced at 48.5% on Polymarket, down 16.5 points, on $9K traded
- Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election priced at 76.5% on Polymarket, up 14.0 points, on $396K traded
- Carolina win the Pro Football NFC South Division priced at 34.0% on Kalshi, down 16.0 points, on $748K traded
- Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026 priced at 59.5% on Polymarket, down 4.0 points, on $1.4M traded