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Bengals win over Titans matches Kalshi’s strong pregame expectation

DeFi Rate's finals board for Sunday, November 1 shows Cincinnati defeating Tennessee 43 to 36 in the Week 8 game in Cincinnati. The winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US settle on the final score, in line with the market that had priced the Bengals at 89 percent on Kalshi before kickoff.

Cincinnati defeated Tennessee 43 to 36 in the Week 8 game in Cincinnati, according to DeFi Rate’s finals board for Sunday, November 1, 2026.

The result matched the direction of Kalshi’s pregame market, which had priced the Bengals at 89 percent before kickoff.

Final score determines settlement

DeFi Rate’s update, published November 1, 2026, at 9:00 PM ET, listed Cincinnati as the winner. The Bengals finished seven points ahead of the Titans.

Winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US settle according to the final score. Cincinnati’s victory therefore provides the outcome governing those contracts, rather than the probability assigned before play began.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The favored outcome occurred: Cincinnati won after Kalshi priced its chance at 89 percent before kickoff.
  • Settlement follows the result: The 43-to-36 final determines the winner contracts on Kalshi and Polymarket US.
  • The pricing evidence is limited: The supplied reporting gives Kalshi’s pregame probability but no corresponding Polymarket US price, leaving no basis for a cross-platform pricing comparison.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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