Bitcoin Up or Down on Oct. 15 resolves Down on $347.3K traded

Polymarket’s “Bitcoin Up or Down on Oct. 15” market has closed with Down resolved at 100%, according to Polymarket. The daily contract recorded $347.3K in total trading volume since launch.

A completed daily Bitcoin market

The result was reported as of Oct 15, 2026 · 5:24 AM ET. It concerns the platform’s daily Bitcoin window for Oct. 15, rather than an open forecast of a future move.

The 100% figure describes the resolved Down outcome. It should not be read as the size of Bitcoin’s price change.

Limited settlement detail

The supplied summary places the contract in a crypto category distinct from the lead. The underlying Polymarket page text was unavailable, leaving no additional source detail on the contract’s settlement terms or reference prices.

The $347.3K figure covers trading since the market launched. The available material does not break that total down by trading period or outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

• The outcome is settled: Down at 100% is a completed resolution, not a live probability.
• Volume measures activity: The $347.3K total does not establish how traders positioned themselves before settlement.
• The scope is narrow: This result applies to the Oct. 15 daily Bitcoin contract; the supplied material does not support conclusions about subsequent Bitcoin moves.