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Kalshi prices Bitcoin’s year-end $75,000–$79,999.99 outcome at 16.6 percent

DOXA lists the Bitcoin end-of-2026 price market among its most liquid Kalshi markets in the latest snapshot. The 75,000 to 79,999.99 dollar band is the priced outcome, at 16.6 percent.

Kalshi’s market for Bitcoin’s price at the end of 2026 puts the $75,000–$79,999.99 outcome at 16.6 percent, according to DOXA.

The snapshot, published Nov 6, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, lists $45.9 million traded in the market.

A liquid market, but a limited snapshot

DOXA places the Bitcoin end-of-2026 price market among its most liquid Kalshi markets in the latest snapshot. The reported trading volume concerns the market; the supplied material does not specify how much was traded in the $75,000–$79,999.99 band alone.

The 16.6 percent figure describes pricing for that particular year-end range, not Bitcoin’s current price. Without prices for the other outcomes or an earlier snapshot, the material does not establish which band leads or how expectations have changed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Outcome-specific pricing: The 16.6 percent reading applies to Bitcoin ending 2026 within $75,000–$79,999.99, rather than simply exceeding $75,000.
  • Market-level activity: The $45.9 million traded and DOXA’s liquidity designation provide context for participation, but do not establish activity in this band alone.
  • A point-in-time signal: The Nov 6, 2026 snapshot provides a pricing reference, not evidence of a trend or a comparison with competing year-end outcomes.
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Sources & attribution

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    DOXA
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