Vance nomination contracts show different prices across Kalshi and Polymarket
DeFi Rate's odds page, on its fresh Oct. 31 read with latest observation at Oct. 31, 2:22 PM ET, prices JD Vance as the 2028 Republican nominee at 37%, a 3.1-point…
DeFi Rate’s Oct. 31 odds snapshot puts JD Vance at 37% for the 2028 Republican nomination. The latest observation listed in the supplied summary was Oct. 31, 2:22 PM ET.
Platform prices diverge
According to DeFi Rate, Kalshi’s Vance contract was priced at 35.5c, compared with 38.6c on Polymarket. Those readings show a higher price on Polymarket at the reported snapshot.
The item was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 2:24 PM ET. Its summary references a 3.1-point figure but cuts off before explaining what that figure measures.
Limits of the snapshot
The supplied material includes no full source text or source links. It therefore does not establish a price trend, explain the difference between platforms or identify a catalyst for the reported pricing.
What it means for prediction markets
- The reported 37% reading is distinct from the individual venue prices of 35.5c on Kalshi and 38.6c on Polymarket.
- The observation time matters: these figures describe the Oct. 31, 2:22 PM ET snapshot, not subsequent trading.
- The incomplete 3.1-point reference should not be treated as evidence of a rise or fall without the missing context.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source 1
- Kalshikalshi.com
- Publisher
- https://kalshi.com/markets
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
- Source 2
- Polymarketpolymarket.com
- Publisher
- https://polymarket.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Kalshi”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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