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Polymarket settles Bitcoin October threshold contract as YES after qualifying close

Lines reports that Bitcoin closed at or above 78,000 dollars on October 31, 2026, confirming the YES outcome on Polymarket's price-level market when it resolved on November 1. The market drew 334,100 dollars in volume, and the related market on when Bitcoin will hit 150,000 dollars is live and pricing that event at 26 percent.

According to Lines, Bitcoin closed at or above 78,000 dollars on October 31, 2026, satisfying the threshold for a YES outcome in Polymarket’s price-level market.

The contract resolved on November 1. Lines’ report, published Nov 1, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET, put trading volume in the market at 334,100 dollars.

Closing threshold met

The reported result establishes that Bitcoin met or exceeded the contract’s closing-price threshold. The supplied summary does not give an exact closing price or indicate how far above 78,000 dollars Bitcoin may have finished.

The distinction between the observation date and settlement date matters: the qualifying close occurred on October 31, 2026, while the market resolved on November 1.

Higher-price contract remains open

Lines also reported that a related market on when Bitcoin will hit 150,000 dollars remains live, with that event priced at 26 percent.

That open contract concerns a different price milestone from the settled October closing-price market. The supplied summary does not specify the deadline or full resolution terms attached to the 26 percent pricing.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The October contract is settled: The reported close at or above 78,000 dollars confirmed YES, rather than leaving the outcome as a market-implied probability.
  • Volume measures trading activity: The 334,100 dollars traded does not, by itself, establish how participants priced the outcome before settlement.
  • The 150,000-dollar market is a separate signal: Its 26 percent pricing should be read alongside its own timing and resolution conditions, which are not detailed in the supplied summary.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Lineslines.com
    Publisher
    https://www.lines.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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