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Kalshi bitcoin year-end threshold contract gains as open interest reaches 421,000

PredictionMarketPicks ranks the Bitcoin above 99,999 dollars by December 31, 2026 contract second among Kalshi crypto markets by 24-hour volume, priced at 16 cents, up two cents, with 421,000 contracts in open interest.

A Kalshi contract tied to Bitcoin exceeding 99,999 dollars by December 31, 2026 was priced at 16 cents, up two cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

Activity and pricing

PredictionMarketPicks ranked the contract second among Kalshi crypto markets by 24-hour volume. The summary did not provide the volume figure itself.

Open interest stood at 421,000 contracts. That figure describes outstanding positions, separately from the trading activity used to establish the volume ranking.

A year-end probability signal

The update was published on Oct 31, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET. Its reported price places the Bitcoin threshold outcome below an even-chance assessment, despite the two-cent increase.

The supplied summary does not identify the comparison period for that increase or explain what drove it. It also provides no Bitcoin spot price or detailed settlement terms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Probability signal: A 16-cent price corresponds to a roughly 16% market-implied probability, rather than certainty about Bitcoin’s year-end outcome.
  • Relative activity: Second place by 24-hour volume indicates the contract’s standing within Kalshi crypto markets, but the missing volume total limits further comparison.
  • Positioning limits: Open interest of 421,000 contracts measures outstanding exposure; it does not, by itself, establish a directional consensus.
KalshiBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
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