Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Bitcoin Up pricing differs across platforms in short trading window

DeFi Rate, observing prices at 3:18 PM ET on November 4, puts the Bitcoin target at 80,020.66 dollars, with 100 dollars on Up paying 147 dollars at Kalshi before fees. Ethereum in the same window is priced Up at 74 percent against a 2,407 dollar target.

DeFi Rate recorded Bitcoin’s Up price at 68 percent on Kalshi and 71 percent on Polymarket US for a 15-minute market window ending at 3:30 PM ET. The observation was made at 3:18 PM ET on November 4, 2026.

Bitcoin pricing and payout

The Bitcoin target was 80,020.66 dollars, according to DeFi Rate. The two platforms’ quoted Up prices differed by 3 percentage points for the same closing window.

DeFi Rate put the payout for 100 dollars on Up at Kalshi at 147 dollars before fees. That figure describes the quoted payout, not the market’s eventual result.

Ethereum in the same window

Ethereum’s Up price was 74 percent against a target of 2,407 dollars for the same window, according to DeFi Rate. The supplied summary does not identify a platform for that Ethereum quote.

The report was published on Nov 4, 2026 at 3:45 PM ET, after the window had closed. Its figures reflect the earlier observation; the supplied material does not provide settlement outcomes for either asset.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Bitcoin’s Up pricing was higher on Polymarket US than on Kalshi at the observed time, making the platform distinction important when comparing the quotes.
  • Ethereum’s 74 percent Up price exceeded both Bitcoin quotes, though each asset had its own target.
  • The 147-dollar Kalshi payout excluded fees, and the reported prices do not establish how either market ultimately settled.
KalshiPolymarketBitcoinEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related