Bayern heavily favored as Mainz match draws $598,000 on Kalshi
DeFi Rate ranks the match eleventh on its top-50 board, with the Bayern Munich minus 1.5 spread priced at 63 cents and the over 3.5 goals total priced at 40 cents.
Bayern Munich is priced at 87 percent against Mainz on Kalshi, according to DeFi Rate, with $598,000 traded in 24 hours.
DeFi Rate places the match eleventh on its top-50 board. The figures were published on Nov 7, 2026, at 10:30 AM ET.
Spread and goals markets show different thresholds
The Bayern Munich minus 1.5 spread is priced at 63 cents, according to DeFi Rate. That contract concerns Bayern’s winning margin rather than simply whether it wins.
The over 3.5 goals total is priced at 40 cents. Together, the prices distinguish the market’s strong preference for Bayern from its assessments of a larger winning margin and a higher-scoring match.
What it means for prediction markets
- The 87 percent price favors Bayern, but does not make the outcome certain.
- The 63-cent minus 1.5 spread sets a separate hurdle: Bayern must win by at least two goals.
- The 40-cent over 3.5 goals price concerns whether the match produces at least four goals, not which team wins.
- The $598,000 in 24-hour trading and eleventh-place ranking describe activity and board position; neither establishes the accuracy of the prices.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Florida State is priced at 52 cents on Kalshi and 76 cents on Polymarket against Boston College, with 1.1 million dollars traded in 24 hours, DeFi Rate reports
- Contract on a US strike on Cuba by December 31 is priced at 10.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.7 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Mojtaba Khamenei being seen in public by December 31 is priced at 12.5 percent on Polymarket, with 7.6 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Contract on Variational FDV above 500 million dollars one day after launch is priced at 86.5 percent on Polymarket, with 3.9 million dollars traded, World Monitor reports
- Cleveland wins is priced at 36 cents on Kalshi, down 7 cents, on 57K contracts traded in 24 hours
- Oklahoma St. is priced at 98 cents on Kalshi against Kansas St., on $2.3M traded in 24 hours