Polymarket odds favor November Bank of England hike despite slight dip

The Polymarket contract on a 25 bps Bank of England interest-rate increase after its November 2026 meeting stood at 98.2%, according to the supplied PredictionBubbles snapshot. That was down 0.4 percentage points, with $172K traded.

A high probability, but not a confirmed decision

The supplied item was published Nov 2, 2026, at 6:24 AM ET. Its summary describes a live reading of PredictionBubbles’ finance board on Nov. 2 at about 6:25 AM ET.

That board covered 167 open finance markets with $161.6M in total volume. Those figures describe the wider finance board, rather than trading in the Bank of England contract alone.

The available material provides market pricing, not confirmation of a Bank of England decision. With the summary truncated and no source links supplied, it does not establish the reason for the probability decline or the period over which it occurred.

What it means for prediction markets

• Strong expectations remain: The 98.2% price indicates that the contract heavily favored a 25 bps increase, despite the 0.4-percentage-point decline.
• Volume needs context: The $172K traded belongs to the individual contract; the $161.6M total spans 167 open finance markets.
• Pricing is not an outcome: The supplied snapshot does not confirm a rate increase or provide the contract’s resolution terms.