Buffalo favored as Baltimore matchup draws $795,000 in Kalshi trading
The game is the 11th most traded market on the DeFi Rate board observed through 3:50 AM ET on November 1, with a spread of Buffalo minus 3.5 at 47 cents and a total over 52.5 at 55 cents.
The Baltimore–Buffalo game generated $795,000 in trading over 24 hours on Kalshi, with Buffalo priced at 62 cents, according to DeFi Rate’s November 1, 2026, report published at 4:00 AM ET.
The matchup ranked 11th by trading volume on the DeFi Rate board observed through 3:50 AM ET on November 1. That ranking reflects the board at the observation cutoff, rather than a final tally.
Spread and total offer different pricing signals
The Buffalo minus 3.5 spread contract stood at 47 cents, according to DeFi Rate. That was below the 62-cent price for Buffalo to win, distinguishing the market’s assessment of victory from its assessment of the winning margin.
The contract for a game total over 52.5 was priced at 55 cents. Together, the three prices provide separate readings on the winner, the spread and combined scoring.
What it means for prediction markets
- Buffalo’s 62-cent win price indicates favorite status, while the 47-cent price on Buffalo minus 3.5 shows less confidence in a win beyond that spread.
- The over-52.5 contract’s 55-cent price places it modestly above the midpoint; it does not represent a forecast of the exact score.
- The $795,000 turnover and 11th-place ranking measure trading activity at the reported snapshot, not the certainty of any outcome.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
- Publisher
- https://defirate.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
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