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Cardinals upset Cowboys in overtime after markets heavily favored Dallas

DeFi Rate's final recap shows Arizona won 33 to 30 in overtime as a clear underdog, with the Cowboys priced at 76 percent and the Cardinals at 25 percent at kickoff on Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US. The Cardinals' win chance swung 32 cents during the game, 5.8 million dollars traded across tracked markets in 331,623 trades, and a 42-yard field goal in overtime settled it.

Arizona defeated Dallas 33 to 30 in overtime, overturning a strong pregame market preference for the Cowboys, according to DeFi Rate’s final recap published Nov 1, 2026, at 7:30 PM ET.

A favorite falls in overtime

At kickoff, the Cowboys were priced at 76 percent and the Cardinals at 25 percent on Kalshi, Polymarket and Polymarket US, according to DeFi Rate. Arizona entered as the clear underdog but finished with the victory.

A 42-yard field goal in overtime decided the contest. The three-point margin closed a game in which Arizona’s market-implied prospects shifted substantially.

Trading activity and price movement

DeFi Rate recorded a 32-cent swing in the Cardinals’ win chance during the game. The summary does not specify when that movement occurred or provide a full sequence of in-game prices.

Across the tracked markets, trading totaled 5.8 million dollars through 331,623 trades. Those figures describe aggregate activity rather than a venue-by-venue breakdown.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The favored outcome did not materialize: Dallas’s 76 percent kickoff price reflected a strong market preference, not certainty.
  • Live prices moved substantially: Arizona’s 32-cent swing highlights how much its market-implied prospects changed during the contest, though the recap summary does not establish the timing.
  • Volume figures have limits: The 5.8 million dollars and 331,623 trades measure activity across tracked markets; they do not show how trading was distributed among the three platforms.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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