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Hamilton’s Kansas victory turns Marshall’s Senate seat over to Democrats

Poliwave's live Senate map, updated at 12:16 AM EST on Nov. 4 and read this run, calls Kansas for Democrat Adam Hamilton at 51.3% with 553,047 votes against Republican…

Kansas changes hands

Democrat Adam Hamilton has defeated Republican incumbent Roger Marshall for Kansas’s Senate seat, according to Poliwave’s live Senate map and the accompanying result summary. The outcome marks a Democratic flip.

Poliwave’s map showed Hamilton at 51.3%, with 553,047 votes. Its Kansas call appeared in an update timestamped 12:16 AM EST on Nov. 4.

The result summary was published Nov 4, 2026 · 12:24 AM ET. It identifies Marshall as the defeated incumbent, but the supplied excerpt does not include his vote total or percentage.

The available material therefore establishes Poliwave’s call and Hamilton’s reported tally, rather than a complete accounting of the race. No source links were provided.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Poliwave’s call is relevant to contracts on the Kansas Senate winner and whether the seat changes parties: the reported outcome is a Hamilton victory and a Democratic flip.
  • The supplied material does not establish official certification or any contract’s settlement requirements. Those distinctions matter when assessing whether a reported result meets a market’s resolution rules.
  • Without Marshall’s tally or broader Senate results, this excerpt does not support calculating the vote margin or determining control of the chamber.
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Sources & attribution

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