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Kalshi impeachment prices climb as Democrats capture both chambers

PredictionMarketPicks reports the Kalshi contract on the President being impeached before July 1, 2027 rose 22 cents to 65 cents on about 10,000 contracts traded in 24 hours in its November 4, 1:20 a.m. EST leaderboard snapshot, with the June 1, 2027 contract up 18 cents to 60 cents and the August 1, 2027 contract up 16 cents to 65 cents. The moves came as Democrats won control of the House and the Senate in the midterm elections.

The Kalshi contract on the President being impeached before July 1, 2027 gained 22 cents to reach 65 cents over 24 hours, according to PredictionMarketPicks. About 10,000 contracts traded during that period.

Gains across three deadlines

The figures appeared in PredictionMarketPicks’ November 4, 1:20 a.m. EST leaderboard snapshot. The report was published on Nov 4, 2026 at 1:30 AM ET.

Contracts with other deadlines also advanced. The June 1, 2027 contract increased 18 cents to 60 cents, while the August 1, 2027 contract gained 16 cents to 65 cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

Congressional results provide the backdrop

The price increases coincided with Democrats winning control of the House and the Senate in the midterm elections. The supplied reporting does not identify any additional developments behind the moves.

At the snapshot, the July 1, 2027 and August 1, 2027 contracts were priced equally at 65 cents, despite their different deadlines. The June 1, 2027 contract stood 5 cents below both.

What it means for prediction markets

  • All three contracts rose, indicating that the repricing extended across multiple impeachment deadlines rather than a single contract.
  • The July 1, 2027 contract posted the largest reported increase: 22 cents, compared with 18 cents for June 1, 2027 and 16 cents for August 1, 2027.
  • The roughly 10,000-contract volume applies to the July 1, 2027 contract. The supplied reporting gives no comparable trading volumes for the other two.
  • These contracts concern impeachment by specified dates; the reported prices do not establish that impeachment will occur.
KalshiSenateMidtermsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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