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Large Kalshi trade targets combined Democratic seat thresholds at 99.4 percent

PredictMarketCap's whale tracker, which follows the largest trades across Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless, shows the 157,153 dollar Kalshi buy on the combined Democratic House and Senate seat thresholds, priced at 99.4 percent, among the biggest trades of the last 24 hours.

A $157,153 buy on Kalshi tied to Democrats holding 235 or more House seats and 51 or more Senate seats ranked among the largest tracked trades over the last 24 hours, according to PredictMarketCap.

The trade was priced at 99.4 percent. It covered the combined Democratic seat thresholds, rather than either chamber’s outcome on its own.

A large trade across the tracked platforms

PredictMarketCap’s whale tracker follows the largest trades across Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless. The Kalshi purchase appeared among the biggest transactions within that coverage, according to the summary published Nov 5, 2026 · 12:45 PM ET.

The supplied reporting does not identify the buyer or give the transaction’s exact rank. It also does not provide surrounding trading activity, limiting what can be inferred about broader market demand from this purchase alone.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Both thresholds matter: The position concerns Democrats holding 235 or more House seats and 51 or more Senate seats together.
  • Price and size measure different things: The 99.4 percent price indicates the level at which the purchase occurred; the $157,153 amount establishes its scale within the tracker.
  • The ranking has a defined scope: “Among the largest” refers to tracked trades across Polymarket, Kalshi and Limitless over the last 24 hours, not a confirmed first-place ranking.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictMarketCap
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