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Ethereum downside contract draws $19.4 million in Polymarket trading

World Monitor ranks the Ethereum 1,500 dollar dip contract among its 15 most traded tracked markets, closing January 1, 2027. The tracker covers 50 Polymarket and Kalshi markets with 234.0 million dollars traded across them.

According to World Monitor, a Polymarket contract on Ethereum dipping to $1,500 by December 31, 2026 is priced at 15%, with $19.4 million traded.

Position in the tracked markets

World Monitor places the contract among the 15 most traded markets it tracks. Its coverage spans 50 markets across Polymarket and Kalshi, with combined trading volume of $234.0 million.

The Ethereum contract therefore accounts for a portion of that tracked activity, though the supplied summary does not give its exact rank within the top 15.

Deadline and closing date

The update, published November 5, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET, identifies December 31, 2026 as the deadline for the Ethereum price event. World Monitor lists the market as closing January 1, 2027.

Those dates distinguish the event deadline from the market’s listed closing date. The summary does not provide the contract’s detailed resolution criteria.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 15% price reflects the market’s pricing of the specified Ethereum downside event, rather than a forecast of its exact year-end price.
  • The $19.4 million traded puts the contract among World Monitor’s 15 most traded tracked markets; that ranking applies to its 50-market coverage, not necessarily the entire prediction-market universe.
  • The December 31, 2026 event deadline and January 1, 2027 closing date are separate reference points. Detailed settlement conditions cannot be established from the supplied summary.
KalshiPolymarketEthereumInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    World Monitor
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