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Kalshi odds for WTI hitting 115.01 dollars by year-end rise to 47.8 percent

Kalshi traders raised the chance that the maximum WTI front-month settle price reaches 115.01 dollars by December 31, 2026 to 47.8 percent, up 3.8 points in 24 hours. The market has 2.2 million dollars in lifetime volume and 704,000 dollars in open interest, and resolves on December 31, 2026.

WTI threshold odds move higher

Kalshi traders put a 47.8 percent probability on the maximum WTI front-month settle price reaching 115.01 dollars by December 31, 2026, according to PredictionBubbles.

The probability increased 3.8 points over 24 hours. The update, published Oct 31, 2026 · 8:45 AM ET, leaves the market-implied chance below 50 percent.

Trading activity and resolution

PredictionBubbles reported 2.2 million dollars in lifetime trading volume and 704,000 dollars in open interest for the market.

The contract resolves on December 31, 2026. Its stated measure is the maximum WTI front-month settle price—not simply the settlement price on that final date.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 3.8-point increase reflects a higher market-implied probability of reaching the 115.01-dollar threshold, though the reported probability remains 47.8 percent.
  • Lifetime volume of 2.2 million dollars measures cumulative trading activity; the separately reported 704,000 dollars in open interest measures outstanding exposure.
  • The maximum-settlement condition matters: readers should distinguish reaching the threshold by December 31, 2026 from finishing that date at or above it.
KalshiOilInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PredictionBubblespredictionbubbles.com
    Publisher
    https://predictionbubbles.com
    Source URL
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