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Novak’s Mexico Open odds jump as Kalshi trading volume accelerates

DeFi Rate's top-50 board, observed October 31 between 9:37 AM and 11:08 AM ET, ranks the Mexico Open winner market 12th by 24-hour volume, with Novak priced at 30 cents to buy and trading at 2.1 times its daily average. Ben Griffin is next among the listed outcomes at 12 cents.

Andrew Novak’s implied probability of winning the VidantaWorld Mexico Open on Kalshi climbed 27 percentage points in seven days to 29%, according to DeFi Rate. The market recorded $794,000 in trading over 24 hours.

Volume puts Mexico Open market in top 50

DeFi Rate’s top-50 board ranked the Mexico Open winner market 12th by 24-hour volume. The board was observed on October 31 between 9:37 AM and 11:08 AM ET.

Trading ran at 2.1 times the market’s daily average, according to DeFi Rate. That elevated activity accompanied the sharp weekly increase in Novak’s implied chances.

Novak’s buy price stands above Griffin’s

Novak was priced at 30 cents to buy on the board. Ben Griffin was next among the listed outcomes at 12 cents, an 18-cent difference in their displayed purchase prices.

The supplied report, published Oct 31, 2026 at 11:15 AM ET, gives Novak’s probability as 29% alongside the 30-cent buy price. Those are separate reported figures; the material does not explain the difference or identify a catalyst for the weekly move.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A substantial repricing: Novak’s 27-percentage-point rise over seven days marks a pronounced shift in the market’s assessment, but the supplied reporting does not establish what drove it.
  • Above-average activity: The $794,000 in 24-hour volume and trading at 2.1 times the daily average provide context for the move, without establishing whether it will persist.
  • Price comparisons have limits: Novak’s 30-cent buy price exceeded Griffin’s 12 cents among the listed outcomes. The supplied material does not include the full field’s prices.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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