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Washington win odds slide as Kalshi trading reaches $3.56 million

PredictMarketCap ranks the Washington win market first on its trending board of volume spikes and breakout markets during Friday night play. The board tracks markets across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless by trading activity and price movement.

The Washington win contract on Kalshi fell 22 percentage points to 8 percent, with $3.56 million traded, according to PredictMarketCap. The update was published Nov 6, 2026, at 9:30 PM ET.

Price drop leads the activity board

PredictMarketCap placed the Washington win market first on its trending board during Friday night play. The ranking highlighted the contract amid volume spikes and markets showing breakout activity.

The board monitors markets across Kalshi, Polymarket and Limitless, using trading activity and price movement. Washington’s leading position therefore reflects its prominence on that activity-focused board, rather than a ranking of the most likely outcomes.

What the snapshot establishes

The reported figures pair a sharp decline in the contract’s implied probability with substantial trading volume. The supplied summary does not identify the opponent, the game situation or the specific development behind the move.

It also does not specify the interval over which the 22-point decline occurred or the period covered by the $3.56 million trading total. Those omissions limit how precisely readers can interpret the pace of the repricing.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 8 percent price indicates a low market-implied probability of a Washington win at the reported snapshot, not a settled result.
  • The 22-percentage-point fall is the clearest directional signal provided; the summary does not establish what caused it.
  • First place on PredictMarketCap’s trending board signals notable trading and price activity, not independent evidence about the eventual outcome.
  • Although the board covers three platforms, the supplied figures concern Kalshi; no comparable Washington prices from Polymarket or Limitless are provided.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PredictMarketCap
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