Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Gabbard nomination contract draws heavy trading while odds stay near zero

ProbCast ranks the Gabbard nomination market sixth by 24-hour volume among the real-money markets on its board. The price remains near zero even as trading in the long-shot contract continues.

A Polymarket contract on Tulsi Gabbard winning the 2028 Republican presidential nomination recorded 495,500 dollars in trading over 24 hours, according to ProbCast. Its price remained near zero despite that activity.

Volume without a price breakthrough

ProbCast ranked the Gabbard contract sixth by 24-hour volume among the real-money markets on its board. That ranking applies to the markets tracked on that board, rather than establishing a position across all prediction markets.

The report, published Nov 6, 2026, at 9:30 PM ET, describes continued trading in a long-shot nomination contract. The supplied summary gives no exact price beyond saying it remained near zero.

Activity and expectations diverge

The figures highlight a distinction between trading volume and market-implied expectations. The 495,500 dollars measures turnover over the reported period; it does not, on its own, indicate growing confidence in Gabbard winning the nomination.

The summary does not identify traders, explain their motivations or provide a price history. It therefore offers no basis for attributing the activity to a particular catalyst or concluding that the contract was gaining momentum.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume is not probability: Substantial turnover can coexist with a near-zero price.
  • Rankings have boundaries: The sixth-place position refers specifically to real-money markets on ProbCast’s board.
  • Direction remains unclear: Without an exact price or price history, the reported activity does not establish a shift in nomination expectations.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    ProbCast
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to ProbCast”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related