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Washington's game contract collapses to 21c as Atlanta rises to 80c in tonight's game, on 1.9M contracts traded on Kalshi

PredictionMarketPicks' Kalshi leaderboard snapshot at 7:47 PM EST on Nov. 4, read this run across 331 priced contracts in 19 series, lists Washington wins at 21c, down…

A Polymarket contract combining outcomes involving Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Gadi Eizenkot and a Democratic Senate climbed 20.8 percentage points to 62%, according to PredictionBubbles.

The update, published Nov 4, 2026 at 7:54 PM ET, placed the move hours before the contract’s expected resolution. The 62% reading is a snapshot from that report, not a confirmed final result.

Three political outcomes in one contract

The combined contract links Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva winning in Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot becoming Israeli prime minister and a Democratic Senate outcome. PredictionBubbles’ live board highlighted the contract during the reported run.

The supplied material does not include the contract’s full resolution criteria, trading volume or an explanation for the price change. It therefore provides no basis for identifying which component drove the increase or assessing how much trading supported it.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The price concerns the combination. The reported 62% should not be treated as a separate probability for any one of the three political outcomes.
  • The move was substantial but unexplained. A 20.8-percentage-point increase signals a sharp repricing; the available material does not establish its cause.
  • Resolution details remain important. With the report placing settlement only hours away, the missing contract terms limit interpretation of what must occur for the combined outcome to qualify.
PredictionMarketsKalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Kalshikalshi.com
    Publisher
    https://kalshi.com/markets
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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