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Iran invasion contract leads PicksByOdds board with $76 million traded

PicksByOdds said in its October 31 daily note that the Polymarket market on the United States invading Iran before 2027 has drawn 76,044,226 dollars in volume with 62 days left before it closes. It described the 17 cent price as traders seeing roughly a one in six chance.

The Polymarket contract asking whether the United States will invade Iran before 2027 is the largest market on the PicksByOdds board, according to the outlet’s October 31 daily note.

Volume and pricing

The contract has recorded $76,044,226 in trading volume, according to PicksByOdds. Its note was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 5:45 PM ET.

The market was priced at 17 cents, which PicksByOdds characterized as traders assigning roughly a one in six chance to the event.

Time remaining

PicksByOdds said the contract had 62 days remaining before it closes. The question’s stated deadline is before 2027.

The reported figures place a large volume total alongside a price indicating that traders view an invasion within that window as the less likely outcome.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Price versus volume: The 17-cent price conveys the market’s implied likelihood; the $76,044,226 volume figure measures trading activity, not confidence that an invasion will occur.
  • Deadline matters: The contract concerns an invasion before 2027, rather than the prospect of one over an open-ended period.
  • Scope of the ranking: PicksByOdds identifies this as the largest market on its board, not necessarily across all prediction markets.
PolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    PicksByOdds
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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