Trump be impeached and removed from office before his term ends priced at 20.0% on Kalshi, up 4.0 points, on $786K traded
PredictionBubbles lists the removal contract among its upward political moves, in a political/election category distinct from the lead. It has zero hits in any Oct. 25…
A Kalshi contract on whether Trump will be impeached and removed from office before his term ends was priced at 20.0%, up 4.0 percentage points, with $786K traded, according to the supplied market update published Oct 25, 2026, at 9:39 AM ET.
PredictionBubbles lists the contract among rising political markets. The supplied material does not identify a news development behind the move, leaving the repricing itself—not a verified political catalyst—as the central finding.
How the move is measured
According to PredictionBubbles, its movers page compares market-implied probabilities over 24 hours, using prices from Kalshi and Polymarket and updating every 15 minutes. The supplied page records a venue-data snapshot of 25 Oct 2026, 13:41 UTC.
The ranking measures changes in percentage points rather than relative percentages. Volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine placement. The board covers 2,006 markets lasting longer than 14 days, excluding short-lived fixtures and markets without a valid 24-hour comparison.
What the figures establish
The 20.0% price represents the market’s estimate for the combined outcome of impeachment and removal before Trump’s term ends. It should not be read as a price for impeachment alone, or as confirmation that either event is approaching.
The reported $786K establishes a traded-volume figure, but the supplied contract update does not specify its measurement period or provide order-book depth. Those gaps limit what readers can conclude about the liquidity supporting the 4.0-point rise.
What it means for prediction markets
- The outcome remains priced below even odds: the upward move brings the contract to 20.0%, not to a market expectation that removal is likely.
- Contract wording matters: the stated outcome requires both impeachment and removal before the term ends.
- Price movement is not a verified catalyst: the supplied material documents repricing without establishing what prompted it.
- Volume is only part of the context: $786K traded does not, by itself, establish current liquidity or explain the move.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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