Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Midterm trading adds $164 million as Pennsylvania district leads overnight moves

Vantage Predictions reports about 164 million dollars more traded since Monday afternoon across the 110 midterm and ballot markets it tracks, taking the total to 1.93 billion dollars. Josh Turek stretched his Iowa Senate lead to 52.5 percent on the combined Kalshi and Polymarket board, while Pennsylvania's 1st district moved most overnight.

According to Vantage Predictions, trading across the 110 midterm and ballot markets it tracks reached $1.93 billion, with about $164 million added since Monday afternoon.

The update, published Nov 3, 2026, at 2:00 PM ET, highlighted Pennsylvania's 1st district as the largest overnight mover and a widening lead for Josh Turek in the Iowa Senate market.

Volume rises across the tracked markets

The $1.93 billion total covers Vantage Predictions’ tracked set of 110 markets. The reported increase measures additional trading since Monday afternoon, rather than a change in candidates’ market probabilities.

The summary did not provide a breakdown of that additional volume by market or platform.

Iowa and Pennsylvania stand out

Josh Turek extended his Iowa Senate lead to 52.5 percent on the combined Kalshi and Polymarket board, according to Vantage Predictions. The summary did not specify his previous reading or the size of the increase.

Pennsylvania's 1st district recorded the biggest overnight move among the tracked markets. Neither the direction nor the magnitude of that move was supplied, limiting what can be concluded about the shift.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Trading activity increased: About $164 million in additional volume brought the tracked total to $1.93 billion; those figures do not establish a directional change in election expectations.
  • Turek’s lead widened: His 52.5 percent reading reflects the combined Kalshi and Polymarket board, not a separately reported figure for either platform.
  • Pennsylvania warrants a closer look: The largest overnight move identifies a notable repricing, but the available summary does not show which outcome gained ground or by how much.
KalshiPolymarketSenateMidtermsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Vantage Predictions
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Vantage Predictions”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related