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Talarico leads Kalshi’s Texas Senate pricing ahead of November vote

DeFi Rate lists the Texas Senate winner market fifth among its most traded politics markets on October 31, with James Talarico priced at 70 cents on Kalshi and Ken Paxton at 31 cents. The market traded 1.7 million dollars in 24 hours ahead of the November 3 election.

James Talarico was priced at 70 cents in Kalshi’s Texas Senate winner market on October 31, according to DeFi Rate. Ken Paxton was priced at 31 cents.

Trading activity ahead of the election

DeFi Rate ranked the Texas Senate contest fifth among its most traded politics markets on October 31. The market recorded 1.7 million dollars in trading over 24 hours.

That activity came ahead of the November 3 election, putting the Texas Senate outcome among the more actively traded political contests in DeFi Rate’s ranking.

A snapshot of market expectations

The figures appeared in an update published Oct 31, 2026 · 7:45 PM ET. They show Talarico favored over Paxton in the reported Kalshi pricing, rather than an established election result.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Pricing: Talarico’s 70-cent price was above Paxton’s 31-cent price in the reported snapshot.
  • Activity: The 1.7 million dollars traded in 24 hours and fifth-place ranking indicate attention to the contest ahead of November 3.
  • Limits: The supplied figures contain no earlier prices, so they do not establish whether either candidate’s market standing was rising or falling.
KalshiSenateElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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