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Talarico leads Texas Senate margin pricing as Kalshi volume reaches $858,000

DeFi Rate ranks the 23-outcome margin market 12th on its November 5 board of the most-traded prediction markets. Prices on the board were observed between 6:10 AM and 8:57 AM ET.

Kalshi’s Texas Senate margin-of-victory market recorded $858,000 in trading over 24 hours, according to DeFi Rate. The leading outcome was James Talarico winning by 3 or more points.

Trading activity and timing

The market includes 23 outcomes and ranked 12th on DeFi Rate’s November 5 board of the most-traded prediction markets. That ranking measures trading activity, rather than the likelihood of any particular election result.

Prices on the board were observed between 6:10 AM and 8:57 AM ET. The report was published on Nov 5, 2026, at 9:15 AM ET, so the reported leader reflects the observation window rather than necessarily the pricing at publication.

What the available figures show

The supplied summary identifies the leading outcome but gives neither its price nor those of the alternatives. It therefore does not establish an implied probability for a Talarico victory by 3 or more points, or how far that outcome stood ahead of its nearest competitor.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The $858,000 in 24-hour volume and 12th-place ranking establish the market’s position on DeFi Rate’s November 5 activity board, not confidence in the leading outcome.
  • With 23 outcomes but no individual prices supplied, readers cannot assess how pricing was distributed across possible margins.
  • The 6:10 AM–8:57 AM ET observation window matters: the summary does not establish whether the same outcome remained ahead at 9:15 AM ET.
KalshiSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to DeFi Rate”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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