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Greg Abbott leads Texas governor prediction markets at 65 and 67 cents

Greg Abbott leads the 2026 Texas governor market at 65 cents on Polymarket and 67 cents on Kalshi, ahead of Gina Hinojosa at 36 cents and 35 cents respectively, in prices updated October 31. Total volume is about 1.5 million dollars on Polymarket and about 12 million contracts on Kalshi.

Abbott leads on both platforms

Greg Abbott was priced ahead of Gina Hinojosa in the 2026 Texas governor markets on both Polymarket and Kalshi, according to WinDailySports. The prices were updated October 31.

Abbott stood at 65 cents on Polymarket and 67 cents on Kalshi. Hinojosa traded at 36 cents and 35 cents, respectively.

Prices and activity

The reported prices put Abbott’s advantage over Hinojosa at 29 cents on Polymarket and 32 cents on Kalshi. Both platforms favored the same candidate, though Kalshi priced Abbott 2 cents higher and Hinojosa 1 cent lower.

WinDailySports reported total volume of about $1.5 million on Polymarket and about 12 million contracts on Kalshi. Those figures use different units—dollars and contracts—and therefore do not provide a direct comparison of trading activity.

The report was published October 31, 2026, at 10:45 AM ET. The supplied figures offer a price snapshot, without an earlier benchmark to establish how either candidate’s standing had changed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Consistent favorite: Abbott led on both platforms in the October 31 update; the prices reflect market positioning, not a confirmed election outcome.
  • Small cross-platform differences: Abbott’s price differed by 2 cents between venues, while Hinojosa’s differed by 1 cent.
  • Volume needs context: Polymarket’s dollar volume and Kalshi’s contract count should not be treated as equivalent measures.
  • No trend established: The snapshot alone does not show whether traders were increasing or reducing either candidate’s chances.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    WinDailySports
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