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Curry scoring prop leads trading as Giannis double-double odds climb

Curry's contract for 30 or more points against Miami is the most-traded NBA player prop tracked by DeFi Rate, with about 17,000 contracts traded on Kalshi and the market pricing the chance at 42 percent. Giannis Antetokounmpo's double-double projection posted the biggest move among the props, up 14 points to 75 percent.

Stephen Curry’s contract for scoring 30 or more points against Miami led the NBA player props tracked by DeFi Rate on November 5, 2026. About 17,000 contracts had traded on Kalshi, with the market pricing the outcome at 42 percent, according to DeFi Rate.

The figures were reported as of 1:15 PM ET. Curry’s contract stood out for trading activity, rather than for the largest change in its implied probability.

Giannis posts the biggest probability move

That distinction belonged to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s double-double projection. According to DeFi Rate, its probability rose 14 points to 75 percent—the biggest move among the props tracked.

The two contracts therefore highlighted different measures of market interest: Curry’s scoring threshold attracted the most trading, while Antetokounmpo’s double-double outcome recorded the strongest probability increase. The supplied figures do not identify what drove either pattern.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Volume and probability tell different stories: About 17,000 contracts made Curry’s prop the most-traded in DeFi Rate’s tracked group, but its 42 percent pricing still put the outcome below an even chance.
  • The largest move was elsewhere: Antetokounmpo’s double-double projection gained 14 points to reach 75 percent.
  • Scope matters: The activity ranking applies to the NBA player props tracked by DeFi Rate, and the reported prices reflect the November 5, 2026, 1:15 PM ET snapshot.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
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