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Hegseth impeachment vote contract jumps to 79 percent on Kalshi

PredictionBubbles ranks the contract among the biggest movers on its live board over the last 24 hours, with 8,000 dollars traded. The market resolves on whether the House votes on impeaching Pete Hegseth before November 21, 2026.

A Kalshi contract tied to a House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth rose 34 percentage points to 79 percent, according to PredictionBubbles.

The report, published Nov 5, 2026, at 2:15 PM ET, places the contract among the largest movers on PredictionBubbles’ live board over the last 24 hours.

Trading activity and the deadline

PredictionBubbles reported $8,000 traded in the market. The supplied summary does not identify a catalyst for the price move.

The contract resolves on whether the House votes on impeaching Pete Hegseth before November 21, 2026. That makes the occurrence and timing of a House vote—not removal from office—the event described in the market summary.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 34-percentage-point increase represents a substantial repricing, taking the contract to 79 percent.
  • The reported $8,000 in trading provides context for the move, but the summary offers no detail on the number of traders or concentration of activity.
  • Resolution hinges on a House vote before November 21, 2026. Readers should distinguish that specified event from other possible steps in an impeachment process.
KalshiInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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