Terminal
Infiniti Feed

No Republican swing-state wins leads Polymarket outcomes as resolution nears

CoinStats lists the Polymarket market on which Senate swing states Republicans will win as its most traded market, with the None outcome favored at 35 percent and 8.9 million dollars in 24-hour volume ahead of the November 3 resolution. The same tracker lists a Democratic sweep on Kalshi at 70 percent with 7.7 million dollars traded in 24 hours.

CoinStats lists Polymarket’s market on which Senate swing states Republicans will win as its most traded market. According to the tracker, the “None” outcome leads at 35 percent, with the market recording 8.9 million dollars in volume over 24 hours.

The figures were published on Nov 1, 2026, at 11:15 PM ET, ahead of the market’s November 3 resolution.

Two platforms, different readings

The same CoinStats tracker lists a Democratic sweep on Kalshi at 70 percent, alongside 7.7 million dollars traded over 24 hours.

The figures describe different market propositions: which Senate swing states Republicans will win on Polymarket, and a Democratic sweep on Kalshi. The supplied summary does not specify their full scope or settlement criteria, limiting direct comparisons between the percentages.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Polymarket’s leading “None” outcome stands at 35 percent. Leading the available outcomes is not the same as having a probability above 50 percent.
  • The reported 24-hour volumes—8.9 million dollars on Polymarket and 7.7 million dollars on Kalshi—show substantial trading activity, but do not establish the accuracy of either market’s pricing.
  • With Polymarket’s November 3 resolution approaching, the precise contracts and settlement terms matter when interpreting its 35 percent reading alongside Kalshi’s 70 percent Democratic-sweep figure.
KalshiPolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    CoinStats
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to CoinStats”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related