Senate map trading leads Texas race in prediction market volume
DeFi Rate reports its live board of the most traded prediction markets, ranked by the last 24 hours of volume across Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and Gemini, puts Polymarket's Senate swing-states Build Your Map market first at 6.6 million dollars traded in 24 hours, ahead of the Texas Senate winner market at 4.8 million dollars with James Talarico at 72 cents on Kalshi and Senate control third at 3.5 million dollars.
Election markets topped DeFi Rate’s live trading-volume board, with Polymarket’s Senate swing-states Build Your Map market recording 6.6 million dollars over the last 24 hours.
The snapshot, published Nov 3, 2026 · 5:15 PM ET, placed the Texas Senate winner market second at 4.8 million dollars and Senate control third at 3.5 million dollars, according to DeFi Rate.
Senate contests draw the largest trading totals
DeFi Rate ranks markets by their last 24 hours of trading volume across Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and Gemini. Its board measures trading activity rather than the likelihood of a particular election outcome.
Alongside the Texas Senate market’s second-place volume ranking, DeFi Rate listed James Talarico at 72 cents on Kalshi. The supplied snapshot did not include corresponding prices for the Senate map or Senate control markets.
What it means for prediction markets
- The Senate swing-states map led the reported volume rankings, followed by the Texas race and Senate control.
- Talarico’s 72-cent Kalshi price is a separate measure from the Texas market’s 4.8 million dollars in trading volume; the volume ranking alone does not indicate which outcome traders favor.
- These figures describe a rolling 24-hour activity window at the published snapshot, not a final election result.
Sources & attribution
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- DeFi Ratedefirate.com
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- https://defirate.com
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Related
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- Senate control averages 74.8 percent for Democrats at 6:09 p.m. ET, with Kalshi's 74.1 percent constructed from its balance of power legs against Polymarket at 75.5 percent, DeFi Rate reports
- Historical research finds prediction markets have overstated the challenging party's sweep odds at this point in the last five midterms, ZeroHedge reports
- Nate Silver's FLIPR model gives Democrats polling leads of 4.9 points in Michigan, 3.9 in Maine, 3.3 in Texas, 3 in Ohio and 1.1 in Iowa, Coinpedia reports
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