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Senate trading dominates DraftKings Predictions as Kalshi House volume clears milestone

Covers reports in its November 3 update at 4:03 p.m. ET that the Senate race accounts for nearly half, 49 percent, of all election hub volume at DraftKings Predictions, ahead of national markets and governor races, while Kalshi's House control market surpassed 240 million dollars traded and its Senate control market passed 38 million dollars.

Senate markets account for nearly half of election hub trading at DraftKings Predictions, according to Covers. Its November 3 update at 4:03 p.m. ET put the Senate race’s share at 49 percent.

That places the Senate race ahead of both national markets and governor races on the platform, according to Covers. The supplied summary does not give dollar volumes for those DraftKings Predictions categories.

Kalshi volumes show a different emphasis

At Kalshi, the House control market surpassed 240 million dollars traded, while the Senate control market passed 38 million dollars, according to Covers.

The figures describe different measures: DraftKings Predictions’ Senate activity is expressed as a share of election hub volume, while Kalshi’s figures are dollar totals for individual control markets. They do not establish a direct comparison of overall trading activity between the platforms.

What it means for prediction markets

  • DraftKings Predictions’ 49 percent Senate share identifies where election hub trading is concentrated, not which outcome traders expect.
  • Kalshi’s reported House control volume exceeds its reported Senate control volume, highlighting a separate focus of trading activity.
  • No contract prices or implied probabilities were supplied, so these volume figures alone do not indicate the expected election result.
KalshiSenateDraftKingsElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

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