San Francisco win the Pro Football NFC West Division priced at 68.0% on Kalshi, down 11.0 points, on $909K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the San Francisco divisional contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It last…
San Francisco’s contract to win the Pro Football NFC West Division was priced at 68.0% on Kalshi, down 11.0 probability points, with $909K traded, according to PredictionBubbles’ movers listing. The figures accompanied the Oct 26, 2026 · 1:09 AM ET update.
PredictionBubbles placed the contract among its downward sports moves, within a sports category separate from the board’s lead item. The decline represents a lower market-implied chance of a divisional win, although the price remained above 50%.
How the move is measured
According to PredictionBubbles, the board compares venue prices over 24 hours and refreshes every 15 minutes. The supplied page records its venue-data snapshot as 26 Oct 2026, 04:37 UTC.
The rankings measure changes in probability points, rather than relative percentages. Trading volume and liquidity provide context but do not determine a market’s position. The board covers 2,034 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures; only open contracts with a valid 24-hour comparison qualify.
What the figures do not establish
The supplied material does not identify a game result, team development or other catalyst behind San Francisco’s decline. It also does not specify the measurement period for the contract’s $909K traded figure or provide order-book depth, limiting what can be concluded about the trading behind the repricing.
What it means for prediction markets
- The change is 11.0 probability points, not an 11.0% relative decline. That distinction matters when comparing moves across contracts with different starting prices.
- Price and activity answer different questions. The 68.0% price describes the market’s implied probability; $909K traded supplies activity context but does not establish available liquidity.
- The snapshot is not an explanation. The listing documents a decline in pricing, but the supplied reporting does not establish why traders changed their assessment.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
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