Butterfield Bermuda Championship: Chris Kirk wins priced at 0.1% on Kalshi, down 4.6 points, on $804K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board lists the Kirk Bermuda championship contract among its downward sports moves, in a sports markets category distinct from the lead. It has…
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The Kalshi contract on Chris Kirk winning the Butterfield Bermuda Championship was priced at 0.1%, down 4.6 probability points over 24 hours, with $804K traded, according to the supplied market snapshot published Oct 26, 2026, at 1:39 AM ET.
According to PredictionBubbles, the Kirk contract appeared among declining sports markets on its movers board. That placement was within a separate sports category, rather than the board’s lead item.
What the snapshot establishes
PredictionBubbles says its board compares prices from Polymarket and Kalshi over a 24-hour window and updates every 15 minutes. The supplied page identifies its venue-data reading as 26 Oct 2026, 05:07 UTC.
The ranking covers 2,038 markets lasting longer than 14 days and excludes same-week fixtures. Only open contracts with a valid day-old price comparison qualify. Rankings depend on the size of the probability-point change, not trading volume or liquidity.
The provided material does not identify a tournament development behind Kirk’s decline. It also does not specify the measurement period for the contract’s $804K traded figure or supply order-book depth. The snapshot therefore documents a price change, but does not establish its cause or how readily traders could transact at the displayed probability.
What it means for prediction markets
The decline is measured in points: The 4.6-point move is a change in implied probability, not a 4.6% relative decrease.
A low price is not a result: The 0.1% reading reflects the contract’s market pricing, not confirmation of the championship outcome.
Volume and liquidity are different: The $804K traded figure provides activity context, but does not establish available depth at the quoted price.
The ranking has a defined scope: Kirk’s appearance among sports decliners should not be read as evidence that it led all markets or all golf contracts.