San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship priced at 16.0% on Kalshi, on $12.4M traded
No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes led this edition; news search recirculated only items already used or held out today (the Spain DGOJ licence…
San Francisco’s price to win the 2027 Pro Football Championship stood at a market-implied probability of 16.0% on Kalshi, with $12.4M traded, in the snapshot published Oct 30, 2026, at 8:09 AM ET.
A price snapshot, not a reported move
The supplied headline establishes the probability and trading volume, but the accompanying material provides neither a previous price nor a 24-hour change for this contract. It therefore does not establish whether traders have recently raised or lowered San Francisco’s chances.
According to predictionbubbles.net, sports-contract prices reflect probabilities set by exchange participants. Its board distinguishes cumulative trading volume from probability movement, so the $12.4M figure should not be read as evidence of a recent shift toward San Francisco.
Coverage and refresh limits
PredictionBubbles says its sports page tracks 531 markets, comprising 237 from Kalshi and 294 from Polymarket. Its embedded board displays the 300 biggest by volume, while the full listing covers all 531.
According to predictionbubbles.net, its data refreshes every 15 minutes, although trading on the underlying venues continues between updates. The published San Francisco figure is consequently a snapshot rather than a guarantee of the current exchange price.
The site also cautions that related contracts across Kalshi and Polymarket can differ in wording and resolution rules. The supplied material contains no corresponding Polymarket price for San Francisco, leaving no basis for a direct cross-venue comparison.
What it means for prediction markets
- Probability: The 16.0% reading represents the market’s implied chance of the specified outcome, not a confirmed forecast.
- Volume: The $12.4M traded measures activity; without price history, it does not establish the direction of sentiment.
- Timing and terms: A 15-minute refresh interval can leave displayed prices behind live trading, while differences in contract rules matter when comparing venues.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/sports/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Delcy Rodríguez be the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 priced at 19.0% on Kalshi, up 5.0 points, on $1.5M traded
- An AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026 priced at 29.5% on Polymarket, up 8.0 points, on $240K traded
- OpenAI's market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027 priced at 9.1% on Polymarket, up 6.2 points, on $118K traded
- Kash Patel leaves Director of the FBI before 2027 priced at 20.0% on Kalshi, up 4.0 points, on $1.3M traded
- Apple Inc. release iPhone 18 before Jan 1, 2027 priced at 4.0% on Kalshi, up 1.0 point, on $1.5M traded
- SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026 priced at 23.5% on Polymarket, down 4.5 points, on $166K traded