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San Antonio leads Kalshi championship pricing with 22 percent probability

DeFi Rate lists San Antonio as the title favorite on Kalshi ahead of Oklahoma City at 16 percent, with 138,000 dollars traded in the futures market.

San Antonio is the favorite to win the 2027 Pro Basketball Championship in Kalshi’s futures market, with an implied probability of 22 percent, according to DeFi Rate.

Oklahoma City is priced at 16 percent, putting it six percentage points behind San Antonio. The figures place San Antonio ahead, but well below an even chance of taking the title.

Volume and the limits of the snapshot

DeFi Rate lists 138,000 dollars in trading volume for the futures market. That figure covers the market, rather than identifying how much was traded on either team.

The update was published on Nov 7, 2026, at 4:15 PM ET. The supplied summary provides no earlier prices or team-level volume figures, so it does not establish whether San Antonio’s lead has widened or narrowed.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Favorite does not mean likely winner: San Antonio’s 22 percent pricing makes it the reported leader, not a greater-than-50-percent proposition.
  • The reported gap is six percentage points: Oklahoma City’s 16 percent price offers a clear comparison, but the summary does not provide the rest of the field’s pricing.
  • Volume is not a liquidity measure: The 138,000 dollars traded shows market activity; without order-book or spread information, it does not establish how readily traders can transact at the reported prices.
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Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    DeFi Ratedefirate.com
    Publisher
    https://defirate.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

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