Kalshi prices year-end S&P 500 range contract at 5 cents

A Kalshi contract tied to the S&P 500 finishing between 8200 and 8399.99 on Dec 31, 2026 was priced at 5c, with 2,847 contracts traded in 24 hours, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

Snapshot covers 333 priced contracts

PredictionMarketPicks’ leaderboard snapshot was taken on Nov. 1 at 9:20 PM EST and covered 333 priced contracts across 21 series. The supplied summary places the year-end S&P 500 band in that ranking but does not give its position.

The item was published on Nov 1, 2026 at 9:54 PM ET. The publication time and leaderboard snapshot are separate timestamps; the supplied material does not establish a later price.

A narrow year-end outcome

The contract concerns a specific S&P 500 range on Dec 31, 2026, rather than a broader outcome such as whether the index rises or falls. Its 5c price therefore applies to that band alone.

The available material provides no prices for adjacent ranges, earlier observations or source links. It consequently does not establish how this band compares with other year-end outcomes or whether its price has changed.

What it means for prediction markets

• Range matters: The quoted 5c price concerns only the 8200–8399.99 outcome, not the overall direction of the S&P 500.
• Volume is not a trend: The 2,847 contracts traded in 24 hours document activity, but do not establish a change in sentiment.
• Comparisons are limited: Without neighboring-band prices or the contract’s exact leaderboard position, the snapshot cannot show the broader distribution of year-end expectations.