Terminal
Infiniti Feed

Polymarket puts near certainty on November Bank of England rate rise

No significant new platform headline in the last 30 minutes; news search recirculated only items already used or held out on Oct. 31 (the Polymarket hacked-wallets…

Polymarket pricing put the probability of a 25 basis points Bank of England interest-rate increase after its November 2026 meeting at 99.0%, according to the supplied market snapshot.

The probability was up 0.8 points, with $171K traded. The snapshot was published on Nov 1, 2026 · 12:54 AM ET; the supplied material does not specify the period over which the price change occurred.

High conviction without a fresh catalyst

The accompanying summary identified no significant new platform headline in the preceding 30 minutes. Its news search returned only material already used or held out on Oct. 31, leaving no fresh reporting in the supplied material to explain the move.

No source links or complete underlying news report were provided. The snapshot therefore establishes the market’s pricing, but not what drove it. It also does not establish that the Bank of England has made the anticipated decision.

What it means for prediction markets

  • A narrowly defined outcome: The 99.0% price concerns a 25 basis points increase after the November 2026 meeting, not simply any rate rise.
  • Little upside remains in the quoted probability: Pricing is close to the top of the probability range, though it remains a market assessment rather than confirmation.
  • Volume does not explain the move: The $171K traded figure provides activity context, but the supplied material does not identify a new catalyst for the 0.8-point increase.
PredictionMarketsKalshiPolymarketElectionsInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    Polymarketpolymarket.com
    Publisher
    https://polymarket.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to Polymarket”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

Related