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Kalshi’s year-end S and P 500 bracket holds at six cents

The bracket is the tenth most traded economics contract on Kalshi in the PredictionMarketPicks snapshot at 2:36 AM EST on November 1, with 56 contracts traded in 24 hours and no change in price.

A Kalshi contract covering the S and P 500 finishing between 8,200 and 8,399 on December 31 was priced at six cents, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

The bracket ranked as the tenth most traded economics contract on Kalshi in the outlet’s snapshot, taken at 2:36 AM EST on November 1.

Open interest and recent trading

The snapshot showed 232,000 contracts in open interest and 56 contracts traded over 24 hours. The price was unchanged.

PredictionMarketPicks published the summary on Nov 1, 2026, at 3:15 AM ET. The figures describe the earlier snapshot rather than a subsequent market update.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The six-cent price applies to the specific 8,200–8,399 year-end bracket, not to a broader outcome for the S and P 500.
  • Open interest and recent trading measure different things: the 232,000 outstanding contracts should not be confused with the 56 contracts traded in 24 hours.
  • The unchanged price provides no evidence of a repricing during the reported period.
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Sources & attribution

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    PredictionMarketPicks
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