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Kalshi year-end S and P 500 bracket slips to 16 cents

That bracket was the most traded Kalshi economics contract in the PredictionMarketPicks snapshot at 1:05 AM EST on November 1, with 1,502 contracts traded in 24 hours and 250,000 contracts in open interest.

A Kalshi contract covering the S and P 500 finishing between 7,600 and 7,799 on December 31 was priced at 16 cents, a decline of one cent over 24 hours, according to PredictionMarketPicks.

Trading activity and positioning

The bracket led Kalshi economics contracts by trading volume in the PredictionMarketPicks snapshot taken at 1:05 AM EST on November 1. Its 24-hour volume totaled 1,502 contracts.

Open interest stood at 250,000 contracts. That figure describes outstanding positions, rather than the number of contracts traded during the latest 24-hour period.

A limited pricing snapshot

The report was published on Nov 1, 2026 at 1:45 AM ET. The supplied summary provides a single price snapshot and its daily change, but no explanation for the decline or prices for competing year-end brackets.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 16-cent price applies to the specific 7,600–7,799 finishing range on December 31, not simply to whether the S and P 500 rises or falls.
  • The bracket’s volume ranking establishes its trading lead among Kalshi economics contracts in this snapshot; it does not establish that it was the most likely year-end outcome.
  • The 1,502 contracts traded over 24 hours and 250,000 contracts in open interest measure different aspects of market activity and should not be treated interchangeably.
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Sources & attribution

Published
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    PredictionMarketPicks
    Publisher
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