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Republican Senate outcome combination climbs to 13.5 percent on Polymarket

The combination Senate market ranked fifth in the PolymarketTrader biggest-movers snapshot generated on October 31 at 02:04 UTC. Liquidity was shown at 799,000 dollars.

A Polymarket contract covering Republican Senate wins in Iowa and Kansas alongside losses in Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas rose 5 percentage points to 13.5 percent, according to PolymarketTrader.

Trading activity and snapshot timing

The combination market placed fifth in PolymarketTrader’s biggest-movers snapshot, generated on October 31 at 02:04 UTC. The reported move applies to that combined outcome, rather than to any individual state result.

The market recorded $738,000 in 24-hour trading volume, with displayed liquidity of $799,000, according to PolymarketTrader.

The report was published on Oct 31, 2026, at 12:15 PM ET. The supplied summary provides no explanation for the price change or further trading history.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The 13.5 percent reading concerns the full combination of Republican wins and losses; it should not be treated as the market probability for any one of the seven states.
  • The fifth-place ranking identifies the contract’s position in that particular biggest-movers snapshot, not a broader ranking of Senate outcomes.
  • The volume and liquidity figures describe trading activity and displayed liquidity, but the supplied material does not establish what drove the 5-percentage-point rise.
PolymarketSenateInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

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    PolymarketTraderpolymarket.com
    Source URL
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