Republican win the House race for TX-15 — Monica De La Cruz priced at 14.0% on Kalshi, down 5.0 points, on $2.9M traded

De La Cruz contract moves lower

The Kalshi contract for a Republican win in the TX-15 House race, identified with Monica De La Cruz, was priced at 14.0%, down 5.0 percentage points, according to the supplied PredictionBubbles market summary published Oct 28, 2026 · 6:39 AM ET.

Reported trading volume stood at $2.9M. That figure describes activity in the contract, not the amount traded during the decline; the supplied material does not specify the period over which the price fell.

PredictionBubbles’ movers board included the De La Cruz TX-15 contract among declining political markets. The summary describes the board as unchanged at its Oct. 28, 09:47 UTC reading.

The underlying page text was unavailable, and the summary is incomplete. The available material therefore establishes the reported price, move and volume, but offers no explanation for the decline or evidence linking it to a particular campaign development.

What it means for prediction markets

• The reported move is a market signal, not an election result. The 14.0% price reflects the contract’s quoted probability, rather than an independently established likelihood of a Republican victory.
• Volume does not explain the direction. The $2.9M traded figure alone cannot establish what drove the 5.0-point decline.
• Timing remains a limitation. Without a stated comparison window or fuller price history, the speed and persistence of the move cannot be assessed.