Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026 priced at 74.0% on Polymarket, down 3.5 points, on $538K traded
PredictionBubbles' movers board, fresh on its Oct. 28, 10:33 UTC read, lists the South Carolina Senate party contract among its downward political moves, in a…
Republican contract moves lower
The contract for Republicans to win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026 was priced at 74.0% on Polymarket, down 3.5 points, according to PredictionBubbles. Reported trading volume stood at $538K.
PredictionBubbles included the South Carolina Senate party contract among the political markets moving lower on its movers board. The supplied summary identifies the board’s latest reading as Oct. 28, 10:33 UTC.
What the snapshot shows
The lower price still leaves a Republican victory as the more likely outcome implied by the contract. The supplied material does not identify the period over which the 3.5-point decline occurred.
The report was published Oct 28, 2026 · 7:09 AM ET. With the source page text unavailable, the snapshot provides no explanation for the move or additional detail about trading activity.
What it means for prediction markets
- Direction and level differ: Republican win pricing declined, but remained above 50% at 74.0%.
- Timing is a limitation: The board’s observation time is provided, but the comparison window for the decline is not.
- Volume does not establish a cause: The reported $538K traded does not, by itself, explain why the contract moved lower.
Sources & attribution
- [1]Predictionbubbles (predictionbubbles.net)https://predictionbubbles.net/markets/movers/
Date & time:
Full attribution under the DMCA, 17 U.S.C. § 512: an original Infiniti Intelligence report summarizing and linking to the publishers named above. All rights in the underlying reporting remain with them. Rights holders may request correction or removal via the contact address at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026 priced at 77.5% on Polymarket, up 1.0 points, on $1.1M traded
- Alexandra Eala wins priced at 60.0% on Kalshi, down 14.0 points, on $963K traded
- Harriet Dart wins priced at 92.0% on Kalshi, up 54.0 points, on $1.1M traded
- Karen Bass win the Los Angeles Mayoral Election priced at 53.0% on Kalshi, up 9.0 points, on $21.6M traded
- Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026 priced at 55.5% on Polymarket, up 2.0 points, on $441K traded
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms priced at 80.0% on Kalshi, down 4.0 points, on $2.8M traded