Prediction market turnover reaches $409.7 billion as regulatory tensions deepen
Data from Artemis puts prediction market trading volume at 409.7 billion dollars so far in 2026 across roughly 2.6 billion trades, up from 16.8 billion dollars in 2023. Open interest across the platforms stood at 2.6 billion dollars, and the report notes the growth has intensified the dispute between the CFTC and state regulators over event contracts.
Prediction markets have recorded $409.7 billion in trading volume so far in 2026 across roughly 2.6 billion trades, according to FinanceFeeds, citing data from Artemis.
The figures mark a substantial increase from the $16.8 billion in trading volume recorded in 2023. The 2026 total is a year-to-date figure, rather than a completed annual tally.
Trading activity and outstanding positions
Open interest across the platforms stood at $2.6 billion, according to the report. That measure is separate from cumulative trading volume: it captures outstanding positions rather than the total value traded over the period.
For prediction-market readers, the distinction matters. The $409.7 billion turnover figure describes trading activity, while the $2.6 billion in open interest offers a separate view of positions remaining open.
Growth sharpens regulatory conflict
The expansion has intensified the dispute between the CFTC and state regulators over event contracts, according to FinanceFeeds. The report places that jurisdictional conflict alongside the market’s rising trading totals.
The supplied summary does not identify individual platforms’ contributions to volume or open interest, nor does it specify a new regulatory decision. The aggregate figures therefore do not establish where activity is concentrated or how the dispute will be resolved.
What it means for prediction markets
- Scale: Artemis data puts 2026 trading volume so far at $409.7 billion, compared with $16.8 billion in 2023.
- Exposure versus activity: The $2.6 billion open-interest figure should be read separately from both dollar turnover and the roughly 2.6 billion trades.
- Regulatory uncertainty: The reported escalation between the CFTC and state regulators leaves event-contract oversight a central issue, without establishing an outcome.
Sources & attribution
- Published
- Source
- FinanceFeedsfinancefeeds.com
- Publisher
- https://financefeeds.com
- Source URL
- The feed did not publish this story's article address.
Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to FinanceFeeds”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.
Related
- Social sportsbooks pivot toward prediction markets as Fliff seeks futures registration and Betr offers Polymarket markets, Medium reports
- CFTC sues Utah to block state action against prediction markets as Utah files criminal charges against Kalshi founders, CryptoNews reports
- Polymarket launches five-minute crypto contracts on its regulated United States platform, CoinDesk reports
- Courts split on prediction market oversight as CFTC sues Arizona, Connecticut and Illinois, JD Supra reports
- Nearly 30 bills targeting prediction markets introduced since 2025 with none passed, WSNext reports
- Kalshi Series A pitch deck shared by Sequoia as the exchange's valuation climbs to 40 billion dollars, The VC Corner reports