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PolyConsensus data shows trader alignment across 1,205 Polymarket markets

PolyConsensus follows about 2,000 top Polymarket traders and lists 1,205 markets where at least five hold a position, as of November 2. It counts 401,487 consensus positions settled in favour against 157,566 against, a 72 percent win rate, with tracked traders up 254.1 million dollars in profit and loss.

PolyConsensus lists 1,205 Polymarket markets in which at least five of the top traders it follows hold a position, according to PolyConsensus data as of November 2, 2026. Its tracking covers about 2,000 top Polymarket traders.

Results across tracked positions

PolyConsensus reports 401,487 consensus positions settled in favour, compared with 157,566 settled against. It puts the consensus win rate at 72 percent.

The tracked traders have an aggregate positive profit and loss of 254.1 million dollars, according to PolyConsensus. That trader-level figure is distinct from the reported tally of settled consensus positions.

Reading the figures

The figures were published on Nov 2, 2026 at 12:30 AM ET. The supplied summary does not specify the measurement period, how top traders are selected or how consensus positions are defined beyond the market-listing threshold.

The threshold identifies markets where multiple tracked traders have exposure. It does not, on its own, establish that those traders all hold the same side.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Breadth of participation: The 1,205-market count measures where at least five tracked traders hold positions, rather than the number of settled consensus outcomes.
  • Win rate versus returns: The reported 72 percent win rate describes settlement results; the summary provides no entry prices or position sizes with which to assess returns from those results.
  • Limits on interpretation: The 254.1 million dollars in positive trader profit and loss is not identified as profit attributable solely to consensus positions.
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Sources & attribution

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    PolyConsensus
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Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to PolyConsensus”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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