Bitcoin’s leading November 1 range loses ground on Polymarket

According to PolymarketTrader’s update published Nov 1, 2026 at 5:15 PM ET, the $76,000 to $78,000 range led Polymarket’s Bitcoin price on November 1 market at 53.6 percent.

That range was down 11.4 percentage points, with $129,900 traded. It remained the leading outcome in the reported snapshot despite the decline.

Weekly downside outcome also retreats

In the separate weekly market asking what price Bitcoin will hit, a dip to $76,000 was priced at 8.2 percent, according to PolymarketTrader. That outcome was down 17.2 percentage points, with $321,800 traded.

The two readings address different questions: one concerns Bitcoin’s November 1 price range, while the other concerns a level reached during the week. Their declines therefore should not be treated as equivalent signals.

What it means for prediction markets

• The $76,000 to $78,000 range retained the lead at 53.6 percent, but its 11.4-point decline indicates a weaker position than in the comparison reading.
• The weekly $76,000 downside outcome fell more sharply, dropping 17.2 points to 8.2 percent.
• The summary provides no competing range prices, comparison timestamps or settlement details, limiting conclusions about where probability shifted or how the two markets align.