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Polymarket odds rise sharply on Bitcoin’s November 1 threshold contract

TradingView, citing ChainCatcher, says the Yes price for Bitcoin breaking through 78,000 dollars on November 1 climbed to 67.45 percent from 44.05 percent one hour earlier. The report was published on November 1 at 08:51 UTC.

According to TradingView, citing ChainCatcher, the Yes price on Polymarket’s contract for Bitcoin breaking through 78,000 dollars on November 1 rose to 67.45 percent, from 44.05 percent one hour earlier.

A rapid shift in pricing

The move amounted to 23.4 percentage points in an hour. It took the contract from below 50 percent to above that level, marking a substantial change in market pricing over a short interval.

The report was published on November 1 at 08:51 UTC. The supplied item carries a separate publication timestamp of Nov 1, 2026 · 6:00 PM ET; the quoted prices therefore describe the earlier reported move, not necessarily pricing at that later time.

What the figures establish

The available summary concerns the price of a prediction-market contract, rather than a confirmed Bitcoin price milestone. It does not establish that Bitcoin had broken through 78,000 dollars or that the contract had resolved.

No source links, trading-volume figures or explanation for the repricing were provided. The available material therefore does not identify what drove the change or how much trading supported it.

What it means for prediction markets

  • The repricing was substantial: Yes moved from 44.05 percent to 67.45 percent, a gain of 23.4 percentage points in one hour.
  • Timing matters: The figures were reported at 08:51 UTC on November 1 and should not be treated as a later live quote.
  • Price is not resolution: The reported odds shift does not confirm that Bitcoin crossed the threshold or that the contract settled.
PolymarketBitcoinInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    TradingViewtradingview.com
    Publisher
    https://www.tradingview.com
    Source URL
    The feed did not publish this story's article address.

Full attribution under the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), 17 U.S.C. § 512: this article is an original report by Infiniti Intelligence that summarizes the reporting of the publishers named above, links to their original work, and reproduces no protected expression beyond brief factual reference and in-line attribution (“according to TradingView”). All rights in the underlying reporting remain with the publishers listed; nothing here implies endorsement by or affiliation with them. Rights holders may request correction, update or removal through the contact address published at infiniti.w3ai.io.

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