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Hegseth draws most trading in Trump administration departure market

CoinStats lists Pete Hegseth as the busiest outcome at 39 cents on Polymarket and 38 cents on Kalshi in the market on who will leave the Trump Administration before 2027, with 165,000 dollars traded in 24 hours across the venues.

According to CoinStats, Pete Hegseth is the most actively traded outcome in the market asking who will leave the Trump Administration before 2027.

The update, published Nov 8, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, places Hegseth’s contract at 39 cents on Polymarket and 38 cents on Kalshi.

Activity and pricing across venues

CoinStats lists $165,000 traded over 24 hours across the two venues. The reported prices put Polymarket one cent above Kalshi for the Hegseth outcome.

The summary identifies Hegseth as the busiest outcome, but does not provide prices or trading volumes for other administration figures. It therefore supports a conclusion about trading activity, not a ranking of which departure is considered most likely.

What it means for prediction markets

  • Activity is not a probability ranking: Hegseth’s position as the busiest outcome should not be confused with having the highest departure price.
  • Venue prices differ slightly: The 39-cent Polymarket price and 38-cent Kalshi price are close, though the summary supplies no contract terms for a fuller comparison.
  • The deadline matters: The market concerns a departure before 2027. The supplied reporting provides a pricing snapshot, not confirmation that Hegseth will leave.
KalshiPolymarketInfiniti MarketsInfiniti Signals

Sources & attribution

Published
  1. Source
    CoinStats
    Publisher
    The publisher did not list a web address.
    Source URL
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